This morning I decided to look back at my Omaha play online over the past month and well for the most part it wasn’t that bad but it wasn’t great either.
Cash Games
Over 7700+ hands for the month I was down $34.53 at the .05/.10 cash tables. I found myself in a showdown with the second best holdings far too often in March. So was I playing bad or just getting sucked out on more often than in the first two months of 2011?
Please click the image for the full size graph… it’s too wide to place the full sized image in the post.
My All-In EV was somewhat better clocking it at -17.93 over that period but looking strictly at that number would indicate that willie_hayes had a lot more play bad than run bad occur over the prior Month. So I wanted to dig deeper into things to find the true story… Looking at my worst losing hands over that time told a different tale. To be blunt I haven’t been doing well with 2 Aces in the hole. 3 of my biggest losing hands in March came with some of the strongest starting hands. Let’s look at each of them in some more detail.
PokerStars Game #58509982471: Omaha Pot Limit ($0.05/$0.10 USD) – 2011/03/01 20:14:47 ET
Table ‘Tyndareus XVI’ 9-max Seat #9 is the button
Seat 1: ($5.21 in chips)
Seat 2: ($5.89 in chips)
Seat 3: willie_hayes ($7.35 in chips)
Seat 5: ($6.09 in chips)
Seat 7: ($5.97 in chips)
Seat 8: ($11.91 in chips)
Seat 9: ($11.30 in chips)
Seat 1: posts small blind $0.05
Seat 2: posts big blind $0.10
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to willie_hayes [Ad 2d Ah 6h]
willie_hayes: raises $0.25 to $0.35
Seat 5: folds
Seat 7: folds
Seat 8: calls $0.35
Seat 9: calls $0.35
Seat 1:folds
Seat 2: calls $0.25
*** FLOP *** [Jh 5h 3c]
Seat 2: checks
willie_hayes: bets $1
Seat 8: calls $1
Seat 9: folds
Seat 2: folds
*** TURN *** [Jh 5h 3c] [Jd]
willie_hayes: bets $1.50
Seat 8: raises $6.29 to $7.79
willie_hayes: calls $4.50 and is all-in
Uncalled bet ($1.79) returned to Seat 8
*** RIVER *** [Jh 5h 3c Jd] [Kd]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
willie_hayes: shows [Ad 2d Ah 6h] (two pair, Aces and Jacks)
Seat 8: shows [3h 3s 9s 2c] (a full house, Threes full of Jacks)
Seat 8: collected $14.69 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $15.45 | Rake $0.76
Board [Jh 5h 3c Jd Kd]
Seat 1: (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 2: (big blind) folded on the Flop
Seat 3: willie_hayes showed [Ad 2d Ah 6h] and lost with two pair, Aces and Jacks
Seat 5: folded before Flop (didn’t bet)
Seat 7: folded before Flop (didn’t bet)
Seat 8: showed [3h 3s 9s 2c] and won ($14.69) with a full house, Threes full of Jacks
Seat 9: (button) folded on the Flop
Not sure why I didn’t fold on the turn at that point. No reason to make that call there. Bad Play.
PokerStars Game #59504366006: Omaha Pot Limit ($0.05/$0.10 USD) – 2011/03/20 11:18:23 ET
Table ‘Margarita X’ 9-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: ($0.80 in chips)
Seat 2: ($3.40 in chips)
Seat 3: willie_hayes ($4.47 in chips)
Seat 5: ($6.89 in chips)
Seat 6: ($9.76 in chips)
Seat 7: ($13.68 in chips)
Seat 8: ($9.76 in chips)
Seat 9: ($4.27 in chips)
Seat 2: posts small blind $0.05
willie_hayes: posts big blind $0.10
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to willie_hayes [Ac As 6c 8c]
Seat 5: folds
Seat 6: calls $0.10
Seat 7: folds
Seat 8: folds
Seat 9: folds
Seat 1: folds
Seat 2: calls $0.05
willie_hayes: raises $0.30 to $0.40
Seat 6: calls $0.30
Seat 2: folds
*** FLOP *** [Ad 9d 6h]
willie_hayes: bets $0.86
Seat 6: raises $2.58 to $3.44
willie_hayes: raises $0.63 to $4.07 and is all-in
Seat 6: calls $0.63
*** TURN *** [Ad 9d 6h] [4d]
*** RIVER *** [Ad 9d 6h 4d] [2s]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
willie_hayes: shows [Ac As 6c 8c] (three of a kind, Aces)
Seat 6: shows [Kh Ah 3d 6d] (a flush, Ace high)
Seat 6: collected $8.59 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $9.04 | Rake $0.45
Board [Ad 9d 6h 4d 2s]
Seat 1: (button) folded before Flop (didn’t bet)
Seat 2: (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 3: (big blind) showed [Ac As 6c 8c] and lost with three of a kind, Aces
Seat 5: folded before Flop (didn’t bet)
Seat 6: showed [Kh Ah 3d 6d] and won ($8.59) with a flush, Ace high
Seat 7: folded before Flop (didn’t bet)
Seat 8: folded before Flop (didn’t bet)
Seat 9: folded before Flop (didn’t bet)
Here it’s a clear case of Run Bad. Not much of a choice for our villain is 33% dog PF and even with his 2 pair and the baby flush draw he improves to just 36%. All the chips go in with willie_hayes holding the nuts and a 64% edge that evaporates with the disastrous turn card the 4d which makes the flush for him… needing a 9 6 or 4 on the river to fill up but that wouldn’t come. Run Bad.
PokerStars Game #59809793157: Omaha Pot Limit ($0.05/$0.10 USD) – 2011/03/25 23:27:32 ET
Table ‘Ueta V’ 9-max Seat #7 is the button
Seat 1: ($10.08 in chips)
Seat 2: ($12.53 in chips)
Seat 3: ($1.59 in chips)
Seat 4: ($5.90 in chips)
Seat 5: ($7.18 in chips)
Seat 6: willie_hayes ($4.35 in chips)
Seat 7: ($9.75 in chips)
Seat 8: ($11.19 in chips)
Seat 9: ($17.47 in chips)
Seat 8: posts small blind $0.05
Seat 9: posts big blind $0.10
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to willie_hayes [7h Ah 6d As]
Seat 1: folds
Seat 2: folds
Seat 3: folds
Seat 4: raises $0.25 to $0.35
Seat 5: raises $0.85 to $1.20
willie_hayes: raises $2.90 to $4.10
Seat 7: folds
Seat 8: folds
Seat 9: folds
Seat 4: folds
Seat 5: raises $2.90 to $7
willie_hayes: calls $0.25 and is all-in
Uncalled bet ($2.65) returned to Seat 5
*** FLOP *** [3h 6c 4s]
*** TURN *** [3h 6c 4s] [2s]
*** RIVER *** [3h 6c 4s 2s] [Ks]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Seat 5: shows [Ac 9c Ad 5d] (a straight, Ace to Five)
willie_hayes: shows [7h Ah 6d As] (a pair of Aces)
Seat 5 collected $8.74 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $9.20 | Rake $0.46
Board [3h 6c 4s 2s Ks]
Seat 1: folded before Flop (didn’t bet)
Seat 2: folded before Flop (didn’t bet)
Seat 3: folded before Flop (didn’t bet)
Seat 4: folded before Flop
Seat 5: showed [Ac 9c Ad 5d] and won ($8.74) with a straight, Ace to Five
Seat 6: willie_hayes showed [7h Ah 6d As] and lost with a pair of Aces
Seat 7: (button) folded before Flop (didn’t bet)
Seat 8: (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 9: (big blind) folded before Flop
Tough spot here as even though I had two aces he did also. Starting of as a slight 49% dog the flop did improve my holdings as I paired the 6 but he would gain a strait draw on the flop and connect on the turn with the deuce of spades. Leaving me looking for an 8% chance for 3 outer five on the river. It never came. Kinda tough to put this one in the Bad Play category with willie_hayes starting the hand short-stacked (as per usual) with 43BB facing a 3 bet from an aggro who’s seeing a lot of flops (57% VPIP) and holding a hand [7h Ah 6d As] that holds an edge over most… not sure how I really see this even with the 20/20 vision provided by hindsight.
I had a few other big time losers this month but in further review many of them I found willie_hayes to be on the wrong end of a suckout on the turn or river. Sure there was a few set over set situations where I should have gotten away but by far the majority of the biggest losers came in hands where I held two aces. Of the top 20 losers 8 fell into that category. I’ve identified this is an area where I will need to improve if I’m to be successful online player and I will be working towards that goal.
Tournaments
So it wasn’t the worst month for willie_hayes in the PLO MTT’s in 40 tournaments for the month we put up an ITM of 20% and 53% ROI. Only two final tables in March for a 5% finishing 3rd and 9th. That’s what I’m looking for really to reach the Final Table in 5% or more of the MTT’s that I play. Once you reach the final table anything can really happen from there… and this month in both cases the anything that occured was anything but good for willie_hayes… Here’s my tourney graph for the month:
Let me set the scene here Seat 6 on the button has been seeing just about every flop (83% VPIP) and raising a good chunk of those also. He’s slaying the field we’re down to 3 players now out of a couple hundo at the start but whenver I get it in against him I double thru 3 or 4 times at least in last 60 hands or so. Here’s the hand:
PokerStars Game #59281338057: Tournament #373784107, $3.00+$0.30 USD Omaha Pot Limit – Level XXVII (4000/8000) – 2011/03/16 4:34:45 ET
Table ’373784107 2′ 9-max Seat #6 is the button
Seat 5: (206812 in chips)
Seat 6: (434500 in chips)
Seat 7: willie_hayes (204688 in chips)
willie_hayes: posts small blind 4000
Seat 5: posts big blind 8000
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to willie_hayes [3c As Kh Kc]
Seat 6: calls 8000
willie_hayes: raises 24000 to 32000 65%
Seat 5: folds
Seat 6: calls 24000 35%
Didn’t really like his call here but I’m definitely not surprised by it. He could have anything… Almost certain I would look to continue (if no ace(s) fell on the flop) being first.
*** FLOP *** [5s Jc 2d]
willie_hayes: bets 72000
Seat 6: calls 72000
No overs and no flush draw. I bet the pot. Thinking back I liked this call even less didn’t give him credit for a set here really… he’s just been so loose I think A3 or 4 here.. half my stack in at this point in both the hand and the tournament it’s almost always going in on the turn.
*** TURN *** [5s Jc 2d] [7s]
willie_hayes: bets 100688 and is all-in
Seat 6: calls 100688
OK here we are 400k pot for the chip lead with three left I’m ahead he’s only 20% to steal it on the river as right now my Kings have the best of it. Nice.
*** RIVER *** [5s Jc 2d 7s] [4s]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
willie_hayes: shows [3c As Kh Kc] (a straight, Ace to Five)
Seat 6: shows [6d Qs 8h 3h] (a straight, Four to Eight)
Seat 6 collected 417376 from pot
willie_hayes finished the tournament in 3rd place and received $113.00.
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 417376 | Rake 0
Board [5s Jc 2d 7s 4s]
Seat 5: (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 6: (button) showed [6d Qs 8h 3h] and won (417376) with a straight, Four to Eight
Seat 7: willie_hayes (small blind) showed [3c As Kh Kc] and lost with a straight, Ace to Five
That’s poker. I’m out. +107.70
Now fast forward to my other final table finish in March. Here it’s just broken down to 9 to create the final table but only 6 are dealt into this hand. Starting the hand willie_hayes is in the middle of the pack in chips.
PokerStars Game #59419124322: Tournament #373783749, $3.00+$0.30 USD Omaha Pot Limit – Level XXVII (4000/8000) – 2011/03/18 18:32:45 ET
Table ’373783749 16′ 9-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: (168637 in chips)
Seat 3: (460919 in chips)
Seat 4: willie_hayes (124230 in chips)
Seat 6: (116390 in chips)
Seat 9: (166143 in chips)
willie_hayes: posts small blind 4000
SYNTEESI: posts big blind 8000
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to willie_hayes [Ac 8s 5c 6h]
Seat 9: folds
Seat 1: folds
Seat 3: calls 8000
willie_hayes: calls 4000
Seat 6: checks
Three players to the flop in the small blind I’m first to act.
*** FLOP *** [6s 7c 6c]
willie_hayes: bets 16000
Seat 6: folds
Seat 3: calls 16000
That just got interesting… trips and Ace kicker I bet 2/3 the pot and Seat 3 calls…
*** TURN *** [6s 7c 6c] [3c]
willie_hayes: bets 56000
Seat 6: calls 56000
Now I have the Ace high flush and trips… I bet the pot and he quickly calls… man does he have 77 or 33… does he have 4c5c here… well there’s little doubt that I would even be able to fold the river… I hope he just has the other 6 with a King kicker that would be the bestest… situation here really
*** RIVER *** [6s 7c 6c 3c] [9h]
willie_hayes: bets 44230 and is all-in
Seat 6: calls 44230
That 9 probably… oh… damn… it did. Boated on the river.
*** SHOW DOWN ***
willie_hayes: shows [Ac 8s 5c 6h] (a flush, Ace high)
Seat 6: shows [Js Kd 6d 9c] (a full house, Sixes full of Nines)
Seat 6 collected 256460 from pot
willie_hayes finished the tournament in 9th place and received $26.53.
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 256460 | Rake 0
Board [6s 7c 6c 3c 9h]
Seat 1: folded before Flop (didn’t bet)
Seat 3: (button) showed [Js Kd 6d 9c] and won (256460) with a full house, Sixes full of Nines
Seat 4: willie_hayes (small blind) showed [Ac 8s 5c 6h] and lost with a flush, Ace high
Seat 6: (big blind) folded on the Flop
Seat 9: folded before Flop (didn’t bet)
Looking back at the hand it was a pretty big suckout. I was 78% on the turn. He raked in a 250k plus pot with just 8 players left in the tournament. Busting in 9th paid $26.53 leaving me at +$23.23 had I been fortunate to win that hand I would’ve had a great chance to increase my winnings in this tournament.
Overall it wasn’t that bad a month. Could have been excellent but it could have been worse in the end as I snuck in a late run last night for a 15th place finish and booked a $20+ win on the cash side. Looking to improve on my weaknesses -> profit in the cash games and improve my FT% and ROI% in the MTT’s in April. I look forward to telling you all about it again on May 1st.
Edit: Just noticed that my 15th place finish from last night does not count in my March stats as the 11:35PM tourney didn’t wrap up (well for me at least) until almost 3:30AM so it will count towards my April stats.
Tags: Micro Stakes Grinder, Omaha, online poker, PokerStars, willie_hayes




